Tropical cyclone Narelle now a category 3
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The tropical Pacific trends toward a stronger El Niño—a change with significant implications for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. Here's a look at what that means, and how similar circumstances
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'Super El Niño' brewing as La Niña fades ahead of peak hurricane season
The most recent climate forecast from the NOAA shows that the La Niña climate pattern is now breaking down, with forecast models agreeing on the growing chance for a strong, and maybe even Super El Niño conditions during hurricane season.
The cone represents the probable track of the storm's center, with a 66% chance of it staying within the cone. Misinterpretations of the cone include assuming all impacts will occur within its boundaries and that the storm will follow the center line.
A major shift in the global climate pattern is underway as the tropical Pacific starts to transition out of a fading La Niña and toward a potential El Niño later this year. Some forecast models suggest a strong or very strong El Niño will form,